Embry-Riddle 
W-L: ( 5- 4) PR = 94.1809
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
131 H Flagler PBC ( 8- 4, 95.5) 8- 7
206 H Montevallo PBC ( 5- 7, 92.4) 11- 4
208 H Alabama-Huntsville PBC ( 3-10, 89.9) 20- 9
214 N Anderson (SC) SAC ( 8- 2, 96.7) 9-18
223 H Concordia-Irvine RMAC ( 4- 5, 91.9) 12-13
228 H North Greenville Carolinas ( 8- 5, 92.5) 17-12
306 N Lander PBC ( 5- 7, 90.9) 15-12
321 A Florida Tech SSC ( 7- 2, 96.5) 8-12
328 H Tampa SSC (11- 1, 99.2) 6-16
401 H Lynn SSC ( 2- 5, 92.5)
404 A Palm Beach Atlantic SSC ( 5- 6, 92.1)
408 H Rollins SSC ( 5- 4, 96.3)
411 H St Leo SSC ( 6- 3, 96.0)
415 A Florida Southern SSC ( 2- 7, 92.8)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 H Flagler 8- 7 1 -1 1.97
206 H Montevallo 11- 4 7 2 + 2.83
208 H Alabama-Huntsville 20- 9 11 5 0.34
214 N Anderson (SC) 9-18 -9 -2 - -2.50
223 H Concordia-Irvine 12-13 -1 3 - -3.60
228 H North Greenville 17-12 5 2 + 2.96
306 N Lander 15-12 3 3 -0.28
321 A Florida Tech 8-12 -4 -3 -1.32
328 H Tampa 6-16 -10 -5 -0.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 N Anderson (SC) 9-18 -9 -2 - -2.50
223 H Concordia-Irvine 12-13 -1 3 - -3.60
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Montevallo 11- 4 7 2 + 2.83
228 H North Greenville 17-12 5 2 + 2.96
|
Embry-Riddle Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adams State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
 
| Adelphi |
| Alabama-Huntsville |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| American International |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
 
| |
| Assumption |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Barton |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Belmont Abbey |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Bentley |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Bridgeport |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Caldwell |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Catawba |
Catawba |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Catawba |
| Chestnut Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Chowan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Coker |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
| Concordia-Irvine |
Concordia-Irvine |
Concordia-Irvine |
 
| |
| D'Youville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Davenport |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Davis & Elkins |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| District of Columbia |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Dominican (CA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Dominican (NY) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Emmanuel (GA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Emory & Henry |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Felician |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Flagler |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Florida Southern |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
 
| |
| Franklin Pierce |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
| Georgian Court |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Holy Family |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Indianapolis |
| Lake Erie |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Lander |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Lees-McRae |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
| Lewis |
Lewis |
|
 
| Lewis |
| Limestone |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Lincoln Memorial |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Lynn |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Malone |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Mars Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Maryville |
Maryville |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Maryville |
| Mercy |
Mercy |
|
 
| Mercy |
| Molloy |
Molloy |
|
 
| Molloy |
| Montevallo |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Mount Olive |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Newberry |
Newberry |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Newberry |
| North Greenville |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
| Northwood |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Pace |
Pace |
|
 
| Pace |
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Post |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Quincy |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rockhurst |
| Rollins |
Rollins |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Rollins |
| Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
 
| Seton Hill |
| Shorter |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
|
 
| Southern New Hampshire |
| St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
| St Leo |
St Leo |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
St Leo |
| St Michaels |
St Michaels |
|
 
| St Michaels |
| St Thomas Aquinas |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Tampa |
Tampa |
Tampa |
 
| |
| Thomas More |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Tiffin |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Tusculum |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Virginia State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Walsh |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Westminster (UT) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Wheeling |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| William Jewell |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Wilmington (DE) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
| Wingate |
Wingate |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Wingate |
| Young Harris |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
PowerWise = 53

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.19
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Flagler ( 8- 4, 95.5) 8- 7 -4.38 18.17 -0.36 1.02 18.18
0 H Montevallo ( 5- 7, 92.4) 11- 4 -7.52 15.03 -0.36 1.02 14.98
0 H Alabama-Huntsv ( 3-10, 89.9) 20- 9 -10.02 12.53 -0.36 1.02 12.43
0 N Anderson (SC) ( 8- 2, 96.7) 9-18 -3.22 19.33 -0.00 1.02 -3.29
0 H Concordia-Irvi ( 4- 5, 91.9) 12-13 -7.95 14.60 -0.36 1.02 -8.49
0 H North Greenvil ( 8- 5, 92.5) 17-12 -7.39 15.16 -0.36 1.02 15.11
0 N Lander ( 5- 7, 90.9) 15-12 -9.00 13.55 -0.00 1.02 13.84
0 A Florida Tech ( 7- 2, 96.5) 8-12 -3.40 19.15 0.36 1.02 -3.11
0 H Tampa (11- 1, 99.2) 6-16 -0.71 21.84 -0.36 1.02 -1.10
------
58.55
|
winning pts = 74.5345 losing points = -15.9865
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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