Embry-Riddle 
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 94.9386
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 A Flagler PBC (14- 3, 96.5) 8-13
208 H Alabama-Huntsville PBC ( 2-14, 91.0) 12- 6
215 N Anderson (SC) SAC (13- 4, 96.7) 14-21
221 A Palm Beach Atlantic SSC ( 4- 7, 93.8) 16-20
301 A North Greenville Carolinas (12- 4, 93.3) 11- 7
308 H Florida Southern SSC ( 3-11, 94.3) 10- 9
312 N Newberry SAC (10- 7, 94.5) 11-10
318 H Molloy ECC (15- 4, 94.6) 12- 9
322 H Palm Beach Atlantic SSC ( 4- 7, 93.8) 12- 7
329 H Florida Tech SSC ( 6-10, 93.9) 12-10
402 A Lynn SSC ( 9- 5, 94.9) 7-11
405 A St Leo SSC ( 9- 7, 94.9) 11-10
412 A Tampa SSC (18- 0, 99.9) 4-13
416 H Rollins SSC (10- 8, 95.5) 11-12
419 H St Leo SSC ( 9- 7, 94.9) 14- 9
423 A Tampa SSC (18- 0, 99.9) 4-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Flagler 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.81
208 H Alabama-Huntsville 12- 6 6 5 0.40
215 N Anderson (SC) 14-21 -7 -2 - -3.22
221 A Palm Beach Atlantic 16-20 -4 0 -- -4.49
301 A North Greenville 11- 7 4 1 + 3.01
308 H Florida Southern 10- 9 1 1 -0.31
312 N Newberry 11-10 1 0 0.52
318 H Molloy 12- 9 3 1 1.98
322 H Palm Beach Atlantic 12- 7 5 2 + 3.22
329 H Florida Tech 12-10 2 2 0.30
402 A Lynn 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.36
405 A St Leo 11-10 1 -1 1.59
412 A Tampa 4-13 -9 -6 0.00
416 H Rollins 11-12 -1 0 -1.12
419 H St Leo 14- 9 5 1 ++ 4.30
423 A Tampa 4-21 -17 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
221 A Palm Beach Atlantic 16-20 -4 0 -- -4.49
201 A Flagler 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.81
215 N Anderson (SC) 14-21 -7 -2 - -3.22
402 A Lynn 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.36
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
419 H St Leo 14- 9 5 1 ++ 4.30
301 A North Greenville 11- 7 4 1 + 3.01
322 H Palm Beach Atlantic 12- 7 5 2 + 3.22
|
Embry-Riddle Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adams State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Adelphi |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
American International |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
 
| |
Assumption |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Barton |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Belmont Abbey |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Bentley |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Bridgeport |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Caldwell |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Catawba |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Chestnut Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Chowan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Coker |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Colorado Mesa |
Concordia-Irvine |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Embry-Riddle |
D'Youville |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Davenport |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Davis & Elkins |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
District of Columbia |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Dominican (CA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Dominican (NY) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Emory & Henry |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Felician |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Flagler |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Florida Southern |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Florida Tech |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Franklin Pierce |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Frostburg State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Georgian Court |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Holy Family |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Indianapolis |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Lake Erie |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Lander |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   4- 3 vs 2- 4 |
|
Lees-McRae |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lewis |
Lewis |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Lewis |
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) |
Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Lynn |
Lynn |
Lynn |
 
| |
Malone |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Mars Hill |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Maryville |
Mercy |
Embry-Riddle |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
Molloy |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Montevallo |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Mount Olive |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Newberry |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
North Greenville |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Northwood |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Pace |
Pace |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Pace |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   3- 4 vs 1- 6 |
|
Post |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Quincy |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Rockhurst |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Rollins |
Rollins |
Rollins |
 
| |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Seton Hill |
Shorter |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Southern New Hampshire |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
 
| St Anselm |
St Leo |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
St Michaels |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Tampa |
Tampa |
Tampa |
 
| |
Thomas More |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Tiffin |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Tusculum |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Virginia State |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Walsh |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
Westminster (UT) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Embry-Riddle |
Wheeling |
Embry-Riddle |
|
 
| Embry-Riddle |
William Jewell |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Wilmington (DE) |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Embry-Riddle |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Wingate |
Young Harris |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
PowerWise = 63

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Flagler (14- 3, 96.5) 8-13 -3.41 21.68 0.64 0.91 -2.53
0 H Alabama-Huntsv ( 2-14, 91.0) 12- 6 -8.91 16.18 -0.64 0.91 14.19
0 N Anderson (SC) (13- 4, 96.7) 14-21 -3.18 21.91 -0.00 0.91 -2.90
0 A Palm Beach Atl ( 4- 7, 93.8) 16-20 -6.10 19.00 0.64 0.91 -4.98
0 A North Greenvil (12- 4, 93.3) 11- 7 -6.59 18.50 0.64 0.91 17.48
0 H Florida Southe ( 3-11, 94.3) 10- 9 -5.62 19.47 -0.64 0.91 17.19
0 N Newberry (10- 7, 94.5) 11-10 -5.44 19.66 -0.00 0.91 17.95
0 H Molloy (15- 4, 94.6) 12- 9 -5.34 19.76 -0.64 0.91 17.45
0 H Palm Beach Atl ( 4- 7, 93.8) 12- 7 -6.10 19.00 -0.64 0.91 16.76
0 H Florida Tech ( 6-10, 93.9) 12-10 -6.02 19.08 -0.64 0.91 16.83
0 A Lynn ( 9- 5, 94.9) 7-11 -4.97 20.13 0.64 0.91 -3.95
0 A St Leo ( 9- 7, 94.9) 11-10 -5.02 20.08 0.64 0.91 18.92
0 A Tampa (18- 0, 99.9) 4-13 -0.00 25.10 0.64 0.91 -0.59
0 H Rollins (10- 8, 95.5) 11-12 -4.43 20.66 -0.64 0.91 -4.64
0 H St Leo ( 9- 7, 94.9) 14- 9 -5.02 20.08 -0.64 0.91 17.74
0 A Tampa (18- 0, 99.9) 4-21 -0.00 25.10 0.64 0.91 -0.59
------
134.32
|
winning pts = 154.4964 losing points = -20.1733
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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